Dr. Jake Ferguson


Instructor, Center for Wildlife Studies

Assistant Professor, University of Hawai’i at Mānoa

M.S. Physics, University of Massachusetts

M.S. Ecological and Environmental Statistics, University of Montana

Ph.D. Biology, University of Florida

Email: jakeferg@hawaii.edu

Google scholar profile Ferguson Lab website


Jake’s research aims to assess the accuracy of predictions made by animal population models. Past assessments of model predictions have relied primarily on theory and simulation studies, not real data. Relying on simulations is problematic because population predictions are often made to inform real-world management and conservation strategies. Jake takes past predictions from population viability analyses and compares them to current observations. Given the large number of choices that modelers must make when collecting data and constructing population models, his research yields empirically-based guidelines for making reliable predictions.



Ferguson, J.M., T.A. Miura, & C.R. Miller. 2019 (accepted). A two‐stage experimental design for dilution assays. Biometrics link 

Crain, B.J., R.L. Tremblay, L. Raymond, & J.M. Ferguson. 2019. Sheltered from the storm? Population viability analysis of a rare endemic under periodic catastrophe regimes. 2019. Population Ecology 61:74–92.

Cutting, K.A., J.M. Ferguson, M.L. Anderson, K. Cook, S.C. Davis, & R. Levine. 2018. Linking beaver dam affected flow dynamics to upstream passage of Arctic grayling. Ecology and Evolution 8:12905–12917. link

Ferguson, J.M., J.B. Hopkins III, & B.H. Witteveen. Integrating abundance and diet data to improve inferences of food web dynamics. 2018. Methods in Ecology and Evolution. 9:1581–1591. link

Ferguson, J.M., Buzbas, Erkan Ozge. 2018. Inference from the stationary distribution of allele frequencies in a family of Wright–Fisher models with two levels of genetic variability. Theoretical Population Biology 122:78–87. link

Heist, K.W., T.S. Bowden, J.M. Ferguson, N.A. Rathbun, E.C. Olson, D.C. Nolfi, R. Horton, J.C. Gosse, D.H. Johnson, M.T. Wells. 2018. Radar quantifies migrant concentration and Dawn reorientation at a Great Lakes shoreline. Movement Ecology 6:15. link

Ferguson, J.M., B.E. Reichert, R.J. Fletcher Jr, & H.I. Jager. 2017 Detecting population–environmental interactions with mismatched time series data. Ecology 98:2813–2822. link

Hopkins III, J.B, J.M. Ferguson, D.B. Tyers, & C.M. Kurle. 2017. Selecting the best stable isotope mixing model to estimate grizzly bear diets in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem. PLoS One12,5,e0174903. link

Vakanski, A., J.M. Ferguson, & S. Lee. 2017. Metrics for Performance Evaluation of Patient Exercises during Physical Therapy. American Journal of Physical Medicine & Rehabilitation. 5:1–15. link

Ferguson, J.M., F. Carvalho, O. Murillo-García, M.L. Taper, & J.M Ponciano. 2016. An updated perspective on the role of environmental autocorrelation in animal populations. Theoretical ecology 9:129–148. link

See full list of publications